@Article{DinizFoBCSDRTLOBLT:2020:InClCh,
               author = "Diniz Filho, Jos{\'e} Alexandre Felizola and Barbosa, Ana Clara 
                         de Oliveira Ferraz and Chaves, L{\'a}zaro Jos{\'e} and Souza, 
                         Kelly da Silva e and Dobrovolski, Ricardo and Rattis, Ludmila and 
                         Terribile, Levi Carina and Lima Ribeiro, Matheus Souza and 
                         Oliveira, Guilherme de and Brum, Fernanda Thiesen and Loyola, 
                         Rafael and Telles, Mariana Pires de Campos",
          affiliation = "{Universidade Federal de Goi{\'a}s (UFG)} and {Instituto Federal 
                         de Goi{\'a}s (IFG)} and {Universidade Federal de Goi{\'a}s 
                         (UFG)} and {Universidade Federal de Goi{\'a}s (UFG)} and 
                         {Universidade Federal da Bahia (UFBA)} and {Instituto de Pesquisa 
                         Ambiental da Amaz{\^o}nia (IPAM)} and {Universidade Federal de 
                         Goi{\'a}s (UFG)} and {Universidade Federal de Goi{\'a}s (UFG)} 
                         and {Universidade Federal do Rec{\^o}ncavo da Bahia} and 
                         {Universidade Federal do Paran{\'a} (UFPR)} and {Instituto 
                         Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Universidade Federal 
                         de Goi{\'a}s (UFG)}",
                title = "Overcoming the worst of both worlds: integrating climate change 
                         and habitat loss into spatial conservation planning of genetic 
                         diversity in the Brazilian Cerrado",
              journal = "Biodiversity and Conservation",
                 year = "2020",
               volume = "29",
               number = "5",
                pages = "1555--1570",
                month = "abr.",
             keywords = "s Brazilian Cerrado · Ecological niche modeling · Eugenia 
                         dysenterica · Genetic diversity · Irreplaceability.",
             abstract = "Conservation strategies aiming to safeguard species genetic 
                         diversity in the Cerrado are urgent. The biome is an agriculture 
                         frontier and lost at least 50% of its natural capital since the 
                         early 1950s, with the highest rate of vegetation clearing among 
                         all Brazilian biomes. Here we match information on geographic 
                         range shifts in response to climate changes and habitat loss to 
                         defne conservation priorities for species genetic diversity using 
                         Eugenia dysenterica, a widely distributed tree across the 
                         Brazilian Cerrado. We found a set of 27 optimal solutions in which 
                         a minimum of 12 out of 23 populations are necessary to represent 
                         all 208 alleles of the species. Environmental suitability 
                         predicted for 2050 was higher for populations in the southern 
                         region of the Cerrado, whereas the proportion of natural remnants 
                         around populations expected for 2030 was lower in this same 
                         region. Thus, it seems to be more conservative to adopt in situ 
                         strategies in the northwestern part of the species range to hold 
                         more genetic diversity in areas harboring high numbers of natural 
                         remnants, despite the likely reduction in climatic suitability. On 
                         the other hand, in the southern and southeastern region of the 
                         range, despite more stability from a climatic point of view, there 
                         was a serious constraint given the high levels of human 
                         occupation; in this case, ex situ strategies might be a better 
                         option for the species. Our results and proposed priorities enable 
                         diferent strategies for making an operational approach for 
                         conservation of genetic diversity. Adopting diferent 
                         prioritization strategies for stable and unstable regions (both in 
                         climatic suitability and natural remnants) in the future would 
                         allow, in principle, to avoid the worst of both worlds to achieve 
                         an efcient conservation program for the species.",
                  doi = "10.1007/s10531-018-1667-y",
                  url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10531-018-1667-y",
                 issn = "0960-3115",
             language = "en",
           targetfile = "diniz_overcoming.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "08 maio 2024"
}